Cardinal Basketball

Louisville Favored By 7 Over Texas Tech

USATSI

Chris Mack and the No. 1 ranked Louisville Cardinals have opened as seven point favorites over Texas Tech, according to VegasInsider.com.

The Cards have been favored in all nine games this year, but are just 5-4 against the spread.

Date Opponent Closing Line Total Result ATS
Nov 5 @ Miami -6.5 145 W  87 – 74 W-Over
Nov 10 Youngstown State -25.5 149.5 W 78 – 55 L-Under
Nov 13 Indiana State -20 146 W 91 – 62 W-Over
Nov 17 NC Central -32.5 139 W  87 – 58 L-Over
Nov 20 SC-Upstate -36.5 140.5 W 76 – 50 L-Under
Nov 24 Akron -18 135.5 W  82 – 76 L-Over
Nov 29 WKU -10.5 144.5 W  71 – 54 W-Under
Dec 3 Michigan -6 137.5 W  58 – 43 W-Under
Dec 6 Pittsburgh -12.5 129.5 W  64 – 46 W-Under

For what it’s worth, the Cards have covered in all three games against all four top 100 KenPom teams (Miami, WKU, Michigan & Pitt). Two of the four games they failed to cover were 30+ points and two of the biggest spreads in program history.

The Cards have played some of their best basketball and covered rather comfortably against their toughest opponents thus far.

Texas Tech started the season ranked  No. 13 in the AP Poll, but are 5-3 after losing three consecutive games. The Red Raiders dropped both games to Iowa & Creighton in the Las Vegas Invitational and then lost a true road game at DePaul.

The defending national runner ups are 4-4 against the spread this season.

Date Opponent Closing Line Total Result ATS
Nov 5 Eastern Illinois -22 138 W 85 – 60 W-Over
Nov 9 Bethune Cookman -28 145 W  79 – 44 W-Under
Nov 13 @ Houston Baptist -24 151.5 W 103 – 74 W- Over
Nov 21 Tennessee State -24.5 140.5 W 72 – 57 L-Under
Nov 24 Long Island -24 146 W 96 – 66 W-Over
Nov 28 Iowa -7.5 144 L 61 – 72 L-Under
Nov 29 Creighton -6.5 139 L 76 – 83 OT L-Over
Dec 4 @ DePaul -1.5 135.5 L 60 – 65  OT L-Under

Texas Tech is averaging 79 points per game, but that number may be a little misleading. Their highest scoring games were against their weaker opponents. Against better competition in their last three games Tech has averaged 65.6 points.

With Louisville being one of the better defensive teams in the country, Texas Tech could have a tough time putting points on the board. The Cards have held their previous two opponents to under fifty total points.

Chris Beard’s teams have always been known for being great defensively, but during the losing streak they’re giving up an average 73.3 points per game, which is just shy of Louisville’s 77.1 points per game.

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